From my personal experience, ubuntu (lts or not), has a tendency of nuking itself randomly. It’s happened more than one time to me, to shit off my PC, eat something, return to a broken installation that doesn’t boot. And I’ve got plenty of experience with fedora just not doing things, like mtp, vulkan on flatpaks, I’ve had it crash on login (on x11), and had gnome apps constantly crashing (on wayland). Currently, I’m using debian, and I’ve never had any issues with it, other than outdated packages, which is relatively minor