FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker shows Joe Biden has a 53 percent chance of winning the election, while Trump has a 46 percent chance.

No matter what the polls ever say, the most important thing to do is vote and encourage others to vote.

  • Zaktor@sopuli.xyzEnglish
    0·
    2 months ago

    538’s win projections aren’t really based on current polling or really current events at all, that’s why nothing’s moved despite crazy things happening in the race. They’ve got some other fundamentals in the model that makes them think it’s all going to revert to norm and Democrats will win, but it’s just their own guesswork, not anything particularly well supported.

    • huginn@feddit.it
      0·
      2 months ago

      Assassination attempts don’t correlate with wins per se. Neither does debate performance.