1·
2 months agoProbably inflation.
Hyperreality
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Joined 1 year ago
Cake day: June 21st, 2023
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You don’t need to poll everyone to get relatively accurate polling results.
I have a related degree, it is possible with the necessary caveats, margins of error and confidence intervals. Statistics is a wonderful thing.
This being said, I actually read the full 77 page document they linked to, and if I’m not mistaken the 55% comes from a 2021 telephone poll. Obviously phone only polls are likely to be biased, even if you correct for demographic factors like age.
Then again, inflation is a problem.
I have a related degree.
The study was conducted for CNN via web and telephone on the SSRS Opinion Panel, a nationally representative panel of U.S. adults ages 18 or older recruited using probability-based sampling techniques.
BUT…
In a January 2021 poll taken just before Trump left office and days after the January 6 attack on the US Capitol, 55% considered his time as president a failure.
Relevant bit:
Unless otherwise noted, results beginning with the August 3-6, 2017 survey and ending with the April 21-26, 2021 survey are from polls conducted by SSRS via telephone only
TLDR: doubt those polls are representative.
0·3 months agoassassinated Iranian officials.
Bit disingenious to call (senior) Members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps ‘officials’ like they’re low level bureaucrats, not military personnel.
you’re ignoring the fact that Israel attacked first.
Why did they attack?
According to Al Jazeera, the IRGC initially claimed the october 7 attack on Israel was revenge for the killing of IRGC commander Qassem Soleimani, although they later retracted that statement.
In any case, the cold war between Israel and Iran didn’t start with Israel bombing an Iranian embassy. Honeslty don’t know who started it, but it wasn’t the first attack, not the first attack on an embassy either.
Iran retaliated, and did so after warning Israel of exactly what it was going to do
Iran claims they warned Israel. The US says they didn’t.
I mean, your user name suggests you’re queer and a communist. How utterly bizarre that you’re defending an Islamic theocracy.
It is possible to be critical of Israel and not defend Iran. Just so you know, I know Russian propaganda probably told you otherwise.
They launched a massive attack on Israel, Israel responded with a very small and limited strike. Iran have been funding terrorist proxy groups for decades. They also treat their own people and women horrifically.
Hate Israel all you want, but cheerleading for an Islamic theocracy is stupid.
Why would Ukraine condemn an attack on a country that is supplying Russia with drones used to kill Ukrainian men, women and children?
Uhuh.
Anyway, breaking news is that Iran has also launched cruise missiles, so now Israel’s going to retaliate with a significant strike against Iran. And in case you haven’t been paying attention, Israel are less than great on proportionality.
Never a dull day.
didn’t Israel start this by bombing their embassy in Syria?
Israel bombed their embassy in Syria as a response to Iran helping Hezbollah and Hamas. At one point an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps spokesman said October 7th was a response to the death of Quds Force commander Qasem Soleimani, although they later retracted that. The Israelis wanted Soleimani gone because of his role in supporting Hamas and Hezbollah and earlier attacks on Israel, including his involvement in the 2006 war in Lebanon. Etc. etc. etc. on and on back to before Iran became Iran.
The middle-east is an illustration of the idiom “An Eye for an Eye Will Make the Whole World Blind”.
01·3 months agoAh, yes. But here’s the thing.
If you make a polite and reasonable comment about veganism and it’s met with hostility, you’re more likely to come across as the good guy and those attacking you come across as arseholes. People reading the exchange are more likely to think that the guy defending veganism or animal rights may have a point.
If you come in all guns blazing, and attack people, people are just as likely to think you’re the arsehole.
Oh, of course. But once you accept that all humans are flawed, you’re more likely to empathize with people who make poor choices, relate to them, and become more convincing.
So for example, you don’t call people hypocrites and a murderers, which will inevitably cause them to become defensive and double down. Especially in a conversation where people are already expressing that they dissaprove of animal abuse. Instead you say something like:
“Same here. Animal suffering also makes me sad, and I couldn’t help but think that I was part of that. I slowly transitioned to eating no meat a while back. But I know it’s hard to make changes. If anyone wants tips, just ask. No judgement.”
Or perhaps:
“Yeah. Food’s really becoming expensive. One thing that does help, is that I eat vegetarian curries. They cost less to make and it’s not that hard. I found this cool recipe and use a rice cooker so I can take care of the kids while it cooks.”
I mean, imagine people who own a fairphone and buy only fair trade chocolate, went around calling the rest of us cunts. They might have a point, but it really wouldn’t help them win the argument.
Now read the rest of the paragraph you chose to ignore.
Imagine you’re about to eat an ice-cream. You see a kid drowning in a pool. You could save him, but instead you choose to eat your ice cream. You put short term pleasure before saving a child’s life. Evil, right?
Now imagine that you can’t see the kid. You know he’s going to die, but instead of donating a bit of money to a charity, you buy that ice cream, drink that fancy frappucino, buy that t-shirt or overpriced gadget you didn’t actually need to buy. You put a short term endorphin rush above saving a child’s life.
This is you. This is everyone. Humans are all evil to a degree. We are all hypocrites to a degree. We allow that kid to die, those workers to get abused, those animals to suffer. The only excuse we have is that we are animals and that we largely act on instinct, even if we rationalise our choices afterwords, often telling ourselves we’re not bad people.
Once you accept that basic fact, mostly because life experience has forced you to come to terms with your flaws, you hopefully become more humble. You gain character, wisdom, and honesty. And here’s a silver lining: once you realise that you’re also deeply flawed and approach fellow humans with humility, you often end up becoming more convincing.
Of course, the first step is to accept that convincing people to be less evil, is more important than vanity and holding to the idea that you’re somehow better than them.
Here’s Norm McDonald telling a joke about hypocrisy:
314·3 months agoHow many succesful zombie invasions has the US suffered?
0·3 months agoOh, you want to pretend I said bombing an embassy is ok, so you can entertain yourself arguing against that.
On the one hand, scary.
On the other hand, it’s a military’s job to prepare for all potential conflicts.
Hell, there’s also this:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CONOP_8888
Or this:
Do you disagree that bombing an embassy is bad?
Did you like Israel before they bombed this embassy?
Israel has nuclear weapons. Iran doesn’t. Israel can get away with strikes like this. Iran uses proxies to do similar but deny involvement. Their proxy Hezbollah has obviously been busy since October, and the commanders killed were involved with that. Or maybe it’s a response to October 7th. Iran themselves have claimed that October 7th was retaliation for the killing of Soleimani:
https://www.algemeiner.com/2023/12/27/iran-hamas-clash-motive-oct-7-massacre/
They have since retracted that statement and Hamas has always denied it, but yeah.
Obviously, bombing an embassy is bad, but it’s not as if they’re going to convince their detractors anyway, so why would they care about people who were going to hate them anyway hating them some more?
A bit like how Iran gets away with funding terrorists who target civilians, because anyone who hates Israel isn’t suddenly going to hate Israel any less because of it.
Things are escalating towards a larger war.
Like China, but don’t like China.
“We apologize for being caught.”